Comeback Player of the Year is always an interesting award. There are a lot of factors that go into picking the winner, and can sometimes be more about the story than quality of play. This is important to note when betting on this award. Comeback Player of the Year is largely quarterback dominated, as they’ve won the past three years. With that being said, let’s look at the best bets based on the current odds.
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Dak Prescott the Obvious Favorite
Dak Prescott is the clear favorite for this award, with his odds sitting at +175. This is rightfully so, as he’s coming off an awful injury, but has the talent to be a fringe MVP contender this year. The guy was on a historic pace last year, and has the same supporting crew to throw to this year. If he has even half the season he was on pace for last season, he should cruise to a CPOY.
Two Big Time Running Backs Worth the Bet
The football world grieved last year when two top talents at running back had season ending injuries. Those players were Christian McCaffrey and Saquon Barkley. Now, they’re in the CPOY field both with +600 odds. Both these guys have Offensive Player of the Year potential with a full season. Based on the projections for a healthy Dak, they’d have to have historic seasons to take the award from him, though.
Fade Other Quarterbacks
Every quarterback not named Dak Prescott isn’t worth the bet this year. Joe Burrow (+600), Carson Wentz (+900), and Sam Darnold (+1600) are the other noteworthy QBs in contention for CPOY. None of these guys have the talent or supporting casts to put up the numbers Dak will this season. Burrow will be on the ground a lot again this year after the Bengals failed to address the offensive line in the offseason. Wentz is already hurt again, and Darnold doesn’t have a comeback story like Dak does.
All in all, I’d be surprised if one of Dak Prescott, Christian McCaffrey or Saquon Barkley didn’t win Comeback Player of the Year this year. They’re all premium players at their positions coming off of big injuries. They’re also all popular players who will be in the spotlight all season.