NFL Best Bets: Week 14

Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

Week 14 begins tonight which means another week of NFL bets. I didn’t release any picks for last week, but I am 8 for 12 overall on my picks dating back to my first article in week 10. Let’s continue this positive run with another four of my best NFL bets, ordered from best to least favorite.

Raiders (-6.5) vs. Rams

When: Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET

Where: SOFI Stadium, CA

The Rams are so far away from the Super Bowl-winning team that they were just 10 months ago. With Matthew Stafford‘s season likely ending and Aaron Donald being ruled out for tonight’s contest, things are looking bleak for LA. And for as bad as the Raiders’ season has gone, they’ve picked up some momentum recently winning their last three games thanks to an improved offense. With the Rams being extremely short-handed and possibly starting Baker Mayfield, who was picked up just days ago, I feel very comfortable taking the Raiders to win by seven.

Cardinals (+3.5) vs. Patriots

When: Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET

Where: State Farm Stadium, AZ

The Cardinals’ season may already be over, but that doesn’t mean they have nothing to play for. I believe Kliff Kingsbury may be playing for his job this weekend. His team is coming off of a bye week to face a struggling Patriots team that’s dropped their last two games. If he can’t turn things around this game, his time in Arizona may come to an end. This team is desperate for a victory and I believe they’re a little better than the record shows. I think the Cards keep this one close given the Patriots’ struggles with mobile QBs and their offense’s inability to extend any leads. I was tempted to bet the Cardinals moneyline since they are home underdogs, but I’m not willing to take that risk since they’ve choked home games in the past. The alternate spread of +3.5 with -152 odds at home is a much safer bet to me.

Steelers (-140) vs. Ravens

When: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET

Where: Acrisure Stadium, PA

The Ravens are clearly a better team than the Steelers, but that will change with Tyler Huntley replacing Lamar Jackson at QB this week. Huntley came in for Lamar last week to help lead the Ravens to a 10-9 victory over the Broncos. But scoring a single touchdown isn’t going to cut it every week. As a starter last year, Huntley was 1-3 with more interceptions thrown than touchdowns. The Steelers offense isn’t much better, but Kenny Pickett hasn’t thrown an interception in his last four games and Najee Harris is picking up steam. That has been a recipe for success for them, resulting in three wins in their past four games. If the Steelers can continue to do those same two things this week, they should win once again.

Bills (-9.5) vs. Jets

When: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET

Where: Highmark Stadium, NY

When looking at the Jets roster this bet almost looks like a no-brainer, but that team plays everyone closely thanks to their fast and physical defense. Recently they made the switch to Mike White at QB and he’s been better than Zach Wilson, but the Vikings seemed to have figured him out last week. Minnesota has the 2nd-worst defense in the NFL and held White to zero touchdowns and two interceptions. Now the Jets will have to travel to Buffalo against one of the better defenses in the NFL. The Bills took a big hit this week losing Von Miller for the rest of the year, but their pass rush is still loaded and will give White fits. I think the Bills have what it takes to pull away by double digits this week.

(All odds from DraftKings Sportsbook)

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