Offensive Rookie of the Year Best Bets

Justin Herbert OROY
Oregon Ducks quarterback Justin Herbert wins the Campbell Trophy during the National Football Foundation awards dinner on Tuesday, Dec. 10, 2019, in New York. Photo by National Football Foundation/Ben SolomonNational Football Foundation/Ben Solomon

The long-awaited NFL debut ended this weekend for a lot of this year’s draft crop. There was a lot of good and a lot of learning points from a talented group ready to leave their marks on the NFL. Only one guy can win Offensive Rookie of the Year, though, and here are some of my takes on the current odds. You can see the full offensive rookie of the year odds here.

Buy Kyle Pitts

No tight end has ever won the Rookie of the Year. But Kyle Pitts is no normal tight end. The 20 year old out of Florida already made NFL history after being drafted 4th overall to the Falcons, becoming the highest drafted tight end ever. That shows how high Atlanta was on this kid, they saw him having a huge impact on the offense. His situation only got better when Julio Jones was traded to the Titans. No receiver has a better situation than Pitts, and he currently has the 6th best odds at +800.

Fade Najee Harris

I don’t understand the Najee Harris hype. He was the first running back taken, and rightfully so, but his situation is awful in Pittsburgh. The Steelers rushing attack was a disaster last year, as they averaged 3.6 yards a carry. This was due to the guys blocking up front, not the running backs. The Steelers’ offensive line is an absolute train wreck again this year, so there won’t be much room for Harris to operate. He currently has the second best odds out of any offensive rookie, at +500, but he’s barely a top 3 rookie running back in my eyes. This isn’t a knock on Harris, who I loved coming out of Alabama, but more a knock on the Steelers.

Buy Javonte Williams

Sticking with running backs here, Javonte Williams is an uber-talented player with an amazing situation. Running backs reign supreme in the Offensive Rookie of the Year history. In the history of the award, they’ve won 34/54 times, and Javonte Williams has the best chance this year. The Broncos had a pretty good rushing attack last year from an underwhelming crop of backs. Williams will get early snaps and has a chance to carve out a huge role in an offense that could surprise some people next year. He already has a chance at starting running back and only improved his case with performance this Saturday. Williams’ odds sit at +2000, which is insanely low for a guy of his talent and upside.

Take A Shot On Rondale Moore

Why not throw a shot in the dark in here? Rondale Moore is the perfect gadget player for the stacked Cardinals offense. This guy can do a lot, but has been stuck with poor quarterback play at Purdue throughout his college career. Catching balls from former Rookie of the Year winner Kyler Murray proves to be a huge opportunity for Moore. The Cardinals showed they want the ball in his hands as he had 3 catches and 2 rushing attempts in his debut. Although it’s a small sample size, it showed how dynamic of a player he is, and it’s worth taking a shot on him at +6600 odds at the moment.

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