Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Tyler Glasnow is the current Cy Young favorite in the National League. Let’s look at his numbers.

Workload

Glasnow’s biggest struggle in his career so far has been his availability. With 8 seasons under his belt, Glasnow has yet to pitch over 120 innings, hitting the mark just last season. Prior to that, he only reached 100 innings pitched once, back in 2018 when he tossed 111.2 innings for the Pirates and the Rays. This season, Glasnow has already reached 100 innings pitched as he’s done so in just 16 starts. While the Dodgers may keep an eye out on his workload, Glasnow should be able to toss around 150 to 160 innings this year in LA which would be a step in the right direction for him.

Performance

Glasnow’s 100 innings pitched currently leads all NL starting pitchers. Here are a list of stats that he also leads the NL in.

fWar – (2.9)

AVG – (.173)

WHIP – (0.87)

Strikeouts – (135)

K% – (35.2%)

K-BB% – (28.6)

With a look at these league leading numbers, it’s easy to discern why Glasnow has an impressive 2.88 ERA this year.

Statcast Numbers

Digging deeper into Glasnows metrics and numbers, they again back up his performance so far this year. There is no weakness in his pitch repertoire as he has Fastball Run Value in the 99th percentile and a Breaking Ball Run Value in the 94th percentile, culminating in a Pitching Run Value in the 99th percentile.

Often times, break out players outperform the peripherals early in the season. A look at Glasnow’s expected metrics however tells a different story as he has performed up to par with them. His expected ERA (xERA) sits at 2.37, which puts him in the 97th percentile, and is lower than his actual ERA of 2.88. His expected Batting Average (xBA) sits at .189, putting him in the 96th percentile and is about even with his current opponent BA at .173.

Glasnow has also continued to flash his swing and miss stuff, shown by his league leading 135 strikeouts as well as his 97th percentile K% and his 88th percentile Whiff%. Another positive in his game is his ground ball rate at 47.3% which puts him in the 70th percentile, creating a deadly combination of strikeouts and groundouts.

Expectation

Heading into the second half of the season, the biggest question for Glasnow will be his availability and consistency. We have never seen Glasnow perform at this level, this deep into a season, and with the Dodgers essentially being a lock in the postseason, we may see the coaching staff attempt to limit his innings in order to preserve him for the postseason.

In order for Tyler Glasnow to walk home with the Cy Young, he would likely have to throw over 160 innings, using Corbin Burnes’ 2021 CY Young campaign as a bench mark. Burnes’ 2021 season marked as the fewest innings pitched for a Cy Young winning starting pitcher with 167. In a year where he pitched to a 2.43 ERA and a 170 ERA+, the innings volume seemed to not matter as much to the voters. If Glasnow wants to take home the trophy, he would have to continue his performance and consistency. Most importantly, he has been one of the top pitchers in the game, ready to make a mark on the postseason for the Los Angeles Dodgers.

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