Week 6 College Football Picks
These are my week 6 college football picks. At this point in the season, we know who most teams are, there are little secrets or surprises.
Rock, Chalk, Jayhawk
Kansas football is ranked and GameDay is in Lawrence, sounds like something one could only see on an acid trip. It is true though, Kansas is 5-0 and ranked 18th in the country.
Kansas comes in undefeated overall and 2-0 in conference play with wins at West Virginia and against Iowa State.
TCU under first year Head Coach, Sonny Dykes, comes in 4-0 with an upset blowout victory over Oklahoma last Saturday.
In addition to their impressive upset last week, the Horned Frogs have two FBS non-conference wins against Colorado and SMU.
The strength of the Jayhawks offense this season has been the ground game. The dynamic duo of quarterback, Jalon Daniels and Devin Neal have been downright dominant on the ground this season, averaging over 220 yards per game.
TCU on the other hand, has been outstanding through the air averaging 297.8 passing yards and just under three touchdowns per game. The TCU run game has been great too averaging over 250 yards per game on the ground.
Even with TCU’s stout run defense, I still expect the Kansas ground game to be pretty productive. Jalon Daniels will be able to take advantage of a very weak secondary which will open up holes for both himself and Devin Neal.
This one will undoubtedly be a very high scoring game but with this game being in Lawrence in front a sold out crowd and GameDay in town, I don’t see Kansas losing this one. Give me Kansas as the home dog.
My pick: Kansas +6.5
Mullet U
Coastal Carolina comes into Week 6 undefeated with an impressive non conference win in Week 1 against Army. They are 2-0 early on in Sun Belt play.
Louisiana Monroe has been a down-trodden program for the last few years now. Coming off a 4-8 season in 2021, Terry Bowden’s crew is 2-3 with wins over Louisiana Lafayette and FCS, sees no Nicholls State.
Grayson McCall should be able to take advantage of a very weak ULM secondary which is 91st in the nation in passing yards against per game.
Though the Coastal defense hasn’t been as good as last year’s unit, there’s a still a lot of talent there. The ULM offense has averaged less than three touchdowns per game, I expect Coastal to dominate on both sides of the ball. This one could be over pretty quick.
My pick: Coastal Carolina -13
ACC in Primetime
After a tough loss at Clemson last week, NC State will be looking for a rebound win at home against Florida State.
Florida State comes in at 4-1 after an undefeated start which got halted last week against Wake Forest. The Noles also boast an impressive week 1 win over LSU.
NC State led by a vaunted defense, have allowed just 15.4 points per game, 19th in the country. The strength of the unit is against the run as they have allowed under 100 rushing yards per game. The Wolfpack secondary is very good too allowing just 185.6 yards per game through the air, good for 26th in the nation.
Florida State’s run first offensive scheme will have a lot of trouble with that stingy NC State front. This will force the Noles into a lot more passing attempts then they’d like given that Jordan Travis isn’t the most polished passer. I expect a turnover or two to turn the tide towards the Wolfpack in this matchup.
My pick: NC State -3
Woo Pig vs The Cowbells
Coming off of a humbling loss at home against Alabama, the Razorbacks will look to right the ship against Mississippi State.
In year three under Mike Leach, the Bulldogs finally seem to have gotten going. State comes in 4-1 with their lone loss at LSU.
Will Rogers and his plethora of targets should be able to do some major work against a struggling hogs secondary which is 124th in the country in passing yards allowed per game.
Arkansas, led by KJ Jefferson and a stable of talented backs, have one of the best rushing attacks in the country. Mississippi State’s stingy front seven, which gives up just 118 yards per game on the ground, should be able to hold them in check.
My pick: Mississippi St -9
Under first year head coach Mike Elko, the Duke Blue Devils come in at a surprising 5-1. The Dukies are coming off their first conference win in 13 games after beating Virginia last week.
Georgia Tech’s season has be turmoil laden thus far after the firing of their head coach and athletic director. They picked up some momentum last week with an upset win over Pitt last week. Overall, the Yellowjackets come in 2-3 and 1-1 in ACC play.
Duke’s three-headed monster in the backfield of running back’s, Jaylen Coleman and Jordan Waters and quarterback, Riley Leonard have combined for 5.5 yards per carry this season. I believe this will be the difference against a Yellowjacket run defense giving up over 188 yards per game on the ground.
Also, I expect Mike Elko to throw some exotic pressure packages at the struggling Georgia Tech quarterback, Jeff Sims to force a turnover or two.
My pick: Duke -3.5
ACC Battle in Atlanta
The Cards and The Cavs
Louisville comes into week 6 at 2-3 with wins over UCF and South Florida. The cardinals are 0-3 in conference play after losing last week by a point to Boston College.
Virginia, under first year Head Coach, Tony Elliott, have gone 2-3 with embarrassing blowout losses to Duke and Illinois. Their two wins come against Richmond and Old Dominion.
Brennan Armstrong and the Virginia offense have struggled so far under Elliott, who was supposed to come in and revolutionize the offense.
On the season, the Cavaliers are averaging just 18 points per game and Armstrong has thrown more picks than touchdowns thus far.
The Cardinals rushing attack led by Tennessee transfer, Tiyon Evans and quarterback, Malik Cunningham have rushed for 209 yards per game this season.
I expect Malik Cunningham to give the UVA defense fits, both through on the ground and through the air. Also, Louisville has forced over an interception per game this season, I expect them to get at least one against the turnover prone Cavaliers.
My pick: Louisville -2.5
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