Super Bowl LVII is finally here, and fans are heading to the books clamoring for Super Bowl player prop bets. Here are some of the best props available and how they should be bet.
Patrick Mahomes Under 293.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Kansas City led the league by a massive margin in passing yards per game, with 297.8. The next closest is Tampa Bay, with 269.8.
The Eagles haven’t faced many prominent offenses this year, and none nearly as good as the Chiefs. They’ve faced three teams that finished in the top 10 in passing offense. Detroit, Minnesota, and Jacksonville. In those games, they allowed an average of 203.3 passing yards.
Despite their poor schedules, Philadelphia leads the league in lowest pass yards per game, with a minimal number of 179.8.
Patrick Mahomes will still be able to throw on this team, but he’s unlikely to approach the 300-yard mark. The Chiefs will look to run the ball on an Eagles team that’s 17th in rush yards per game with 121.6, especially if they can get out to a lead.
Kansas City to take the first timeout (-115)
Both teams have played 19 games this season. Kansas City has taken the first timeout in 15 of their 19 games.
The Eagles, on the other hand, have been relatively conservative. Nick Sirianni has done an excellent job of staying on schedule and saving his timeouts for the end of each half.
A.J. Brown Over 72.5 receiving yards (-125)
The Chiefs, under Steve Spagnuolo, have been a heavy-man coverage team, with most of that being in cover one. A.J. Brown is the ultimate cover one-man coverage beater for the Eagles.
Kansas City has successfully managed man coverage this year, allowing a 50% completion rate. Despite this, Brown has been dominant one on one and will likely be open along the outside boundary multiple times if the Chiefs only keep one safety deep.
Brown will quickly get this number if he can corral at least one or two big plays.
Miles Sanders Over 12.5 1Q rush yards (-145)
Sanders has been a very consistent runner for Philadelphia this year. This has been mainly because of the dominant offensive line they obtain.
The Eagles average 153.9 rushing yards per game. It is vital for them to run the ball to set up the rest of their offense. Kansas City has been solid this year, stopping the run, but they still allow over 100 yards per game on the ground.
Expect the Eagles to come out and run the ball early and often. Sanders should get at least two or three attempts in the first quarter, and with his 4.9 yards per rush in 2022, three attempts should make it an easy over.
Conclusion
Super Bowl player prop bets are designed to be fun, but they’re a lot more fun when they hit. Gamble responsibly.
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