Nate Diaz is a heavy underdog against Khamzat Chimaev in what could be his final fight in the UFC. Many fighters feel the UFC should have given the octagon legend an easier opponent in his last bout, given what he has done for the company over the past 15 years. However, that does not seem to be the case, as Chimaev is a dangerous striker with elite-level boxing skills. Although Diaz has been highly successful at striking and wrestling, Chimaev has the advantage in every one of those areas. So, what are Nate Diaz’s upset chances?
Diaz has lost 3 of his last four fights since his big upset against Conor Mcgregor in 2016, the biggest win of his career. It is worth noting that those losses have come against top-level competition. This includes Jorge Masvidal, former title challenger, and current welterweight champion Leon Edwards. The latter, Diaz almost finished in the final round despite getting dominated for most of the fight. The fight with Edwards showed what has defined Nate’s career up to this point. No matter how much damage he takes, he is never truly out of a fight.
What Chimaev’s Weaknesses Mean For Nate Diaz’s Upset Chances
That grit and determination will come in handy against Chimaev, one of the division’s most well-rounded fighters. Chamaev, nicknamed the Chechen Wolf, is undefeated in his MMA career with a stellar record of 11-0 (5-0, UFC), with 9 of his wins coming by stoppage. The UFC is building him to be the next star. And, so far, he has shown all the intangibles to excel in this sport. In his last fight, he stepped up to fight at the time, the #2 ranked welterweight in Gilbert Burns, in a thrilling back-and-forth battle. Chimaev showed he could overcome adversity and go to distance with a top contender. He also showed some flaws. Chimaev was dropped and hurt and seemed to tire out towards the end of the fight.
It will be interesting to see if Diaz can take advantage of any fatigue or weakness when Chimaev enters the cage on Saturday night. Nate Diaz is known for having some of the best cardio in the UFC. Weathering the storm will significantly increase Nate Diaz’s upset chances. At times, Chimaev also showed an inability to hold Gilbert Burns down on the ground, another area where Diaz excels. Diaz is great at fighting off his back and does not panic when put in a bad position. This could be the key to his victory on Saturday if he can get this fight to the ground.
Fight fans will have to tune in to see if Chimaev’s power is too much for Diaz to overcome or if he will be able to withstand whatever punishment Chimaev has in store for him. Either way, this will be an exciting fight and one that you will not want to miss!
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